'Ukubuyela esikolweni' koosopolitiki kwenzeka kwimeko apho ubunyani besitalato bohluke kakhulu kuleyo ikho kwiPalamente yeSizwe. Inkxaso exhasa urhulumente wobumbano kaPedro Sánchez akakho ngoku ngaphandle kweCongress of Deputies, njengoko kuboniswe ngokucacileyo kwi-GAD3 barometer yamva nje ye-ABC. Uninzi lutshintshile kwaye ukuba bekukho unyulo ngoku uloyiso beluya kwiQela elidumileyo, elinokugqithisa izihlalo ze-150, kwaye linokuba nethuba lokongeza uninzi olukhululekileyo kunye neVox. Ikhohlo, nangona kunjalo, isala ngasemva, ngokuwa kwe-United Singakwazi, ehlulekayo ukumisa inkululeko yayo kunye ne-PSOE esondla oko amaqabane aseburhulumenteni alahlekelwayo.
Le barometer ye-GAD3 iqhutywe kwiveki ephelileyo, phakathi kwe-6 Septemba kunye ne-9, kunye nodliwano-ndlebe lwe-1.000. Akukho mntu uthatha isigqibo sokuba ubuso nobuso phakathi kweSánchez kunye noFeijóo, ngosuku olufanayo lwe-6 ntambama kwi-Senate, kwakunokuba nefuthe kwisiphumo, kuba kuphela iipesenti ze-17.6 zivuma ukuba bamlandele "kakhulu okanye ngokwaneleyo." Kodwa ngasemva kwakukho unyulo lwengingqi e-Andalusia, ngoJuni 19, apho iPP yaphumelela okokuqala ngobuninzi obupheleleyo, kunye namanyathelo abekwe nguRhulumente okonga amandla, okuhambelana nale barometer efanayo ayanelanga isibhozo kwishumi ngalinye. abemi, kuquka nabavoti bobusoshiyali.
Emva kwempembelelo yesiphumo kwi-polls yase-Andalusi kwaye emva kokuba i-euphoria kwindawo ye-central-right space ngenxa yeso siganeko esingaqhelekanga sonyulo luye lwancitshiswa, uqikelelo lwevoti luye lwahlengahlengiswa kwaye i-PP yawa kancinane xa kuthelekiswa nenyanga kaJulayi. Iqela lika-Alberto Núñez Feijóo lizakuphumelela unyulo jikelele ngoku ngeepesenti ezingama-35.1 zeevoti, nto leyo ethetha ukumelwa okuphakathi kwe-147 kunye ne-151 yamasekela. Kusekude kuninzi olupheleleyo, olubekwe kwizihlalo ze-176, kodwa indlela ye-PP icacile ukususela ngo-Epreli, xa olu qulunqo lwezopolitiko lwaqala ngamandla emva kobunzima bangaphakathi obunzima ngoFebruwari. Iyonke, ifumana amanqaku angama-8,2 ngaphezulu kwePSOE.
Uqikelelo lweevoti kwiminyaka
unyulo jikelele
inani lezihlalo
(Kwizibiyeli, kwiveranda)
ERC
Iibhasikithi
I-NVP
bildu
Ilizwe elingakumbi
UPC
Ngaba +
BNG
CC
PCR
Texas
uninzi olupheleleyo
176 izihlalo
Uqikelelo lweevoti kwiminyaka
unyulo jikelele
inani lezihlalo
(Kwizibiyeli, kwiveranda)
Uninzi
ngokupheleleyo
176 izihlalo
cs
ERC
Iibhasikithi
I-NVP
bildu
Ilizwe elingakumbi
kakhulu ngokwaneleyo
Yonke into ibonisa ukuba i-PP idibanise umphumo ongaphezulu kweepesenti ze-30 ngendlela ezinzileyo, eyona nto inokuthi inike uloyiso. Nge-35 pesenti efana nale ibonakaliswe kule barometer, iya kuba malunga nezihlalo ze-150 kwaye imithombo ethile edumileyo iqikelela ukuba ngamanqaku ambalwa angaphezulu kunokuba nesininzi esaneleyo sokulawula yedwa.
Okwangoku, kwiinyanga ezimbini i-PP iwele ngamanqaku e-1,2, enokuthi ichazwe njengoko ilungelelanisa emva kwe-euphoria malunga nonyulo lwase-Andalusi. Xa kujongwa ixesha elide, lo mkhwa ujongwe ngcono, ushiya amathandabuzo amancinci. Kunyulo jikelele lukaNovemba ka-2019, iPP yashiywa yi-20,8 yeevoti. Amanqaku ayo angama-14.3 ngaphantsi kwento anayo okwangoku. Ngo-Oktobha 2021, uqikelelo lwevoti lwayo sele luyipesenti ze-29.2, phambi kwe-PSOE, kwaye kwakulo nyaka, emva konyulo lwase-Andalusi, xa liphule umqobo we-30 ekhulwini lamavoti ngendlela eqinile.
E-Genoa, njengeqhinga likaFeijóo lokufuna ivoti enqamlezileyo, ngaphandle kweengcamango, kunye neqela lobugcisa kunye neqela lokulawula, unika iziphumo, 'ngokuloba' ngenkxaso ukusuka kumbindi osekhohlo ukuya ekunene. Nangona kunjalo, kunye nalawo masekela angama-151 ukuba i-PP inobuninzi, wayengenakukwazi ukulawula yedwa, kungakhathaliseki ukuba u-Feijóo wayesondele kangakanani kumaqela afana ne-PNV, ethi ngokutsho kwe-GAD3 iya kongeza amasekela amathandathu kunyulo jikelele.
Jonga kwiVox
I-PP iya kufumana amasekela amaninzi kune-PSOE kunye ne-Unidas Podemos zidityanisiwe, kodwa ukuba onke amahlakani e-Sánchez akhoyo ayenokujikela i-Feijóo, izinto ziya kuba nzima kakhulu kwizinto ezidumileyo. Ke ngoko, kuya kufuneka bajonge kwiVox. Ipati kaSantiago Abascal ayihambi ngezona zihlandlo zilungileyo, yonke into ilungile emva kwe-fiasco yakhe e-Andalusia. Ukususela ngo-Epreli odlulileyo ilahlekelwe ngamanqaku amabini kwaye ngoku iya kuba kwi-13.4 yeepesenti yeevoti, kunye noluhlu lwamasekela angama-38-40. Ayizukufumana kwakhona izishumi ezibini ukusukela ngoJulayi, kodwa iyaqhubeka nokuba namandla angaphezulu okwaneleyo ukongeza isininzi esikhululekileyo kunye nePP.
Ngale datha kuya kuba yinto engenakwenzeka ukuba iziko-ilungelo lingalawuli eSpain emva konyulo jikelele olulandelayo, oluchaza ukuzimisela kukaSánchez ekugxininiseni ukuba uzimisele ukuyigqiba indlu yowiso-mthetho kude kube sekupheleni. Isivumelwano phakathi kwePP kunye neVox ayibonakali ilula namhlanje. Unxibelelwano phakathi kweFeijóo kunye ne-Abascal alukho kwaye umnqweno wenkokeli edumileyo awudluli ngaphaya kokuxhomekeka kwiVox. Ukuba bendikwazi, ngekhe ndithethe nabo kwixesha elizayo. Enyanisweni, eGenoa baphupha ngokuqhubeka bekhula kwaye isiphumo se-Andalusia siphinda siphinde sibuyele eSpeyin xa sifika.
Ngasekhohlo, i-PSOE ithatha i-oksijini xa ithelekiswa ne-barometer yokugqibela, ngenyanga kaJulayi. Emva koko yabetheka etyeni, ngevoti yeepesenti ezingama-24,3 naphakathi kwama-94 nama-98 amasekela, atsalwa yi-bump e-Andalusia. Ngoku, ikhula ngokubonga ngokuwa okuqhubekayo kwe-Unidas Podemos, kodwa nangenxa yohlengahlengiso lwePP kunye nelo nqaku kunye nesibini seshumi esishiywe kweli hlobo ngasendleleni, kwaye ukuba abavoti beziko-ekhohlo banokuthi bangabi nazigqibo. ivoti yabo.
IPHEPHA LOBUGCISA
Indalo iphela: abemi ngokubanzi abangaphezu kweminyaka eli-18 ubudala abanelungelo lokuvota.
Umda welizwe.
Inkqubo: udliwano-ndlebe ngomnxeba (iifowuni eziphathwayo ezingama-395 / iimfonomfono ezingama-605).
Ubungakanani besampulu: 1.000 udliwano-ndlebe.
Imposiso yesampulu: ± 3.2 ekhulwini.
Ixesha lodliwano-ndlebe: malunga nemizuzu emithathu.
Imihla yoMsebenzi wasentsimini: ukususela ngoSeptemba 6 ukuya kwi-9, 2022.
Ifoto ehleliyo yolu phando ibonisa i-PSOE kunye neepesenti ze-26,9 zevoti, i-2,6 ingaphezulu kunoJulayi kunye ne-1,1 amaphuzu angaphantsi konyulo jikelele lwe-2019. Iyonke, ingaba phakathi kwe-108 kunye ne-104 amasekela, ngaphantsi kwe-120 yangoku. Ngale datha kunokubonakala ngathi u-Sánchez akazange ahlupheke ngokugqithisileyo kunye nokukrazula ngexesha lakhe. Kodwa oku kuqwalaselwa kunokulungiswa ukuba kuhlalutywa ukuba ulahlekelwe yivoti kwiziko, apho i-PP yayiza kuphumelela, kwaye iphumelele ngakwesobunxele, ngokungqiyama kwizikhundla ze-United Singakwazi ukuzama ukuhlala kwindawo yazo. Ekupheleni kweveki, amanyathelo kaSánchez athathwe kule ndlela, njengephulo lesitrato 'El Gobierno de la Gente', ephefumlelwe ngokucacileyo yiPodemite.
Ngasekhohlo kwe-PSOE, i-Unidas Podemos ayiphakamisi intloko yayo kwaye iwela kwi-8,6 yepesenti yoqikelelo lwevoti, kunye namasekela angama-14-16, ngaphantsi kwesiqingatha sazo ngoku. Kunyaka ophelileyo ilahlekelwe ngamanqaku amabini, kwaye ayizange ibonise naluphi na uphawu lokubuyisela, ekunciphiseni okuqhubekayo. U-Más País akanamandla, ngevoti ye-1.4 yepesenti kunye nesekela elinye kuphela.
