'Imfazwe ngaphandle kwezithintelo', i-oracle eneenkcukacha ukudala amandla

"Ukuthoba utshaba ngaphandle kokulwa yeyona nto igqwesileyo." Sisixeko 'soBugcisa beMfazwe' ekwakucingwa ngabo ababini baseTshayina ababhala incwadi eyenza uphononongo oluhlaziyiweyo lokuqonda kwabo ngendlela yokoyisa xa bejongene. Uhlobo lweMachiavelli yanamhlanje ethi "xa ubukhosi butshabalala, akusiyo ngokugquma kodwa nge-snicker".

ULuis Garvía, umlawuli we-Master's Degree kwi-Financial Risks kwi-Comillas ICADE, wathi "kuye kwadlula iminyaka engaphezu kwe-20 ukususela kwiikholoneli zaseTshayina uQiao Liang noWang Xiangsui -we-China People's Liberation Army (PLA) - wabhala, kwi-1999, "Imfazwe Engasikelwanga Mida" yabo yesiprofeto, into efana neMfazwe engenazithintelo. Ngelo xesha, inzuzo yetekhnoloji yase-United States yayingathandabuzeki, kwaye isindululo sale ncwadi yayikukufumana indlela yokoyisa olo tshaba”.

Umsebenzi ekuhambeni kweminyaka waba yincwadi yereferensi yomkhosi waseRashiya nowaseTshayina. Olu papasho luchaphazela i-US kunye neKholeji yeMfazwe yase-US kunye neNkonzo yezobuNtlola yase-USAF kwaye bayidibanisa kwikharityhulam yabo. Emva kohlaselo lwe-11/XNUMX, le ncwadi yaqala ukutsala ingqalelo engakumbi kubo bonke abayichaza njengesicwangciso esiyintloko sokuba iTshayina ifezekise i-hegemony.

Ithisisi esisiseko yayikukunqanda ukujongana ngqo nomkhosi kunye nethala leencwadi imfazwe kweminye imida yedabi, oko kukuthi, ngaphandle kokudubula nesixhobo esinye. Ukutya kwakhe kuyamangalisa ngokufana nothungelwano lwezenzo zaseTshayina kunye nabanye abasasazeke ukwandisa impembelelo yabo. “Ekupheleni kweminyaka yee-90, imfazwe kwihlabathi ledijithali ayisekho nje malunga nezixhobo. Yimfazwe edlalwa kwezinye izicwangciso, ngakumbi kwiintanethi zentlalo, okanye kwiimarike zemali. Yile nto siyibonayo ngeentshukumo ezenziwa yi-China, utshilo uGarvía. Siyibona kwidola ngokuchasene nedabi leyuan.

I-IEEE iqinisekisa ukuba ukuhlukaniswa okuqhubekayo kweTaiwan ngumzekelo ocacileyo wale nto, "kwaye kancinci kancinci sibona indlela iBeijing ezama ngayo ukukhohlisa ngezivumelwano zorhwebo ezinenzuzo amazwe asabumba iTaiwan namhlanje."

Umsebenzi uqala ngokuthi "xa abantu beqala ukuvuya ekunciphiseni ukusetyenziswa kwamandla omkhosi ukusombulula iingxabano, imfazwe iya kuphinda izalwe ngolunye uhlobo nakwelinye icandelo, ibe sisixhobo samandla amakhulu ezandleni zabo bonke abo babamba inqanawa. imizamo yokulawula amanye amazwe okanye imimandla. Iphinde yahlasela uluntu ngendlela entsonkothileyo. Iimfazwe eziye zatshintsha kubuchwephesha bale mihla kunye nenkqubo yentengiso ziya kusungulwa ngeyona ndlela ingaqhelekanga… ukunyanzela utshaba ukuba lwamkele iimfuno zomntu.”

Ngaloo ndlela le ncwadi yathi “imfazwe yezemali luhlobo oluthile lwemfazwe engeyiyo yomkhosi enentshabalalo eyoyikekayo njengemfazwe yokuphalazwa kwegazi, kodwa eneneni ayiphalazi gazi.” Ngoko ke, “ubuqili sisixhobo esitsha, ngohlaselo olungenakubonwa oluchaphazela ukusebenza rhoqo kwelizwe. Nangona kunjalo, urhulumente unokuba phakathi kwemfazwe ngaphandle kokwazi, okanye okubi ngakumbi, ngaphandle kokwazi umchasi.

Umsebenzi wamakholoneli amabini aseTshayina umisela ukuba ngelixa i-US ibanjwe kumgibe wezixhobo zobuchwepheshe obuphezulu iindleko zazo ziqhubeka nokunyuka - i-US iqhube intsilelo kwinkcitho yayo yomkhosi - intsalela kunye nezixhobo ezimbalwa kufuneka iphuhlise indlela eyahlukileyo , ngezixhobo 'zobubele'. Akukho "ukunxiba i-Adidas okanye i-Nike ngaphandle kwesiqinisekiso sokuba uya kuba ngophumeleleyo".

'Imfazwe ngaphandle kwezithintelo', i-oracle eneenkcukacha ukudala amandla

Yintoni iMfazwe engasikelwanga mda? Njengoko kuchaziwe yiYunivesithi yaseJohns Hopkins, "uhlaselo lwayo oludibeneyo lusebenzisa iindawo ezahlukeneyo zobuthathaka", iqaqambisa:

-Imfazwe yeNkcubeko, ukulawula okanye ukuphembelela iimbono zenkcubeko zesizwe esichasayo.

-Imfazwe yeziyobisi, ehlasela isizwe esichasayo ngeziyobisi ezingekho mthethweni.

-IMfazwe yoNcedo lwezoQoqosho, usebenzisa ukuxhomekeka kuncedo lwemali ukulawula umchasi.

-Umlo wokusiNgqongileyo, ukutshabalalisa izixhobo zokusingqongileyo zesizwe esichasayo.

-Imfazwe yezeMali, ukubhukuqa okanye ukulawula inkqubo yebhanki yeentshaba kunye ne-stock market yayo. Isixhobo se-hyper-strategic, ngokutsho kwencwadi, ebusweni bezixhobo zenyukliya ezijike zaba yimihombiso eyoyikisayo kwiishelufa kwaye eziphulukene nexabiso lazo lokusebenza lokwenyani.

-IMfazwe yeMithetho yaMazwe ngaMazwe, ukubhukuqa okanye ukulawula imigaqo-nkqubo yemibutho yamazwe ngamazwe okanye yamazwe ngamazwe.

-Imfazwe yeMedia, ukuxhaphaza amajelo angaphandle.

-Imfazwe ye-Intanethi, ngokulawula okanye ukutshatyalaliswa kweenkqubo zekhompyuter zaphesheya.

-Imfazwe yengqondo, elawula imbono yezakhono zesizwe sotshaba.

-IMfazwe yeZibonelelo, ukulawula ukufikelela kwimithombo yendalo enqabileyo okanye ukuxhaphaza ixabiso labo kwimarike.

-Imfazwe ye-Contraband, ehlasela imarike yotshaba ngeemveliso ezingekho mthethweni.

-Imfazwe yeTekhnoloji, ukufumana inzuzo kulawulo lweetekhnoloji eziphambili zasekuhlaleni nezomkhosi.

Yaye le ncwadi imisela ukuba ikamva lemfazwe lixhomekeke ekoyiseni imicimbi yasemkhosini, ibe ngumxholo ongakumbi nangakumbi wezobupolitika, izazinzulu, kwanoobhanki.

Ngenxa yoko, ndibonisa ukuba ngeli xesha lokuhlanganiswa kwezoqoqosho, ukuba nayiphi na inkampani enamandla kwezoqoqosho ifuna uqoqosho lwelinye ilizwe ngelixa ihlasela ukhuseleko lwayo, inokuxhomekeka ngokupheleleyo ekusebenziseni iindlela esele zilungisiwe, ezifana nezohlwayo zorhwebo. okanye izisongelo nezixhobo zomkhosi. Okuqukwe kumandla alinganayo ehlabathi afana neTshayina yinjongo yabo yokugungqisa uqoqosho lwehlabathi kuphela ngokuguqula eyabo imigaqo-nkqubo yezoqoqosho.

Kwaye uhlabela mgama esithi "Ukuba iChina yayililizwe elizingcayo kwaye ivumele i-yuan ukuba ilahlekelwe yixabiso layo, ngokuqinisekileyo oku bekuya kubangela ukungahambi kakuhle kwezoqoqosho zaseAsia. Kwakhona bekuya kubangela intlekele kwiimarike ezinkulu zehlabathi, njengoko nelizwe elilelona lizwe linabantu abaninzi abanamatyala, ilizwe elisekelwe ekungeneni kwenkunzi yamazwe angaphandle ukuxhasa impumelelo yalo kwezoqoqosho, i-US, ngokungathandabuzekiyo ibiya kubandezeleka. . Eso siphumo, ngokuqinisekileyo, besiya kuba ngcono kunohlaselo lwasemkhosini. ” Isebenza ngakumbi kwaye ichanekile.

Kwaye ngenxa yesi sizathu imisela ukuba kwixesha elizayo, "ijoni eliselula ekufuneka liphumeze imiyalelo liya kubuza: Liphi ithafa ledabi? Impendulo kufuneka ibe: yonke indawo.