Barazana mai tsanani ga farfadowa

Cika tankin mota a Galicia a yau yana biyan Yuro 15 fiye da shekara guda da ta gabata. Sannan litar man fetur ya kai 1.24 kuma yanzu ya kusa 1.55. Karamin karuwa idan aka kwatanta da juyin halittar wutar lantarki.

A ranar Alhamis, misali, da megawatt hour ciniki a cikin wholesale kasuwar 289% mafi tsada fiye da Janairu 27, 2021. a 6.5%, mafi girman matakin da aka rubuta tun 1992. Houston, muna da matsala. Tsawon farashi mai tsawo yana haifar da rashin aiki mai tsanani a cikin tsarin tattalin arziki.

Na farko na tattalin arziki: yayin da farashin ke tashi, buƙatun ya ragu.

Ƙaruwa na kan lokaci da/ko sarrafawa yana haifar da masu nasara da masu asara, babu wani abu mai mahimmanci a tsarin macro. Haɓaka tsayin daka na ci gaba da bala'i ga kowa.

A zahiri, yawan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki yana nuna, baya ga raguwar buƙatu, ƙimar tattalin arziƙi mai mahimmanci a matakai uku: abin da masu fasaha ke kira farashin canza kadarorin da ba na kuɗi ba, abin da ake kira 'kudin menu' da farashin sashin asusun. . A'a, hakan bai yi kyau ba.

Tabbas, IMF ta sake kwantar da tsammanin samun farfadowa bayan lura da cewa hauhawar farashin kayayyaki zai dawwama "fiye da yadda ake tsammani". A cikin wannan mahallin, Babban Bankin Tarayya a Amurka yana shirya kasuwa don haɓaka ƙimar wannan bazara na ɗan lokaci.

Classic monetary manufofin girke-girke: karuwa a rates yana nuna jerin raguwa a cikin kashewa zuba jari da kuma samun kudin shiga, wannan yana rage yawan amfani da masu zaman kansu ta hanyar masu yawa kuma yana haifar da raguwa a yawan buƙatun, wanda a ƙarshe ya ƙare yana haifar da kwanciyar hankali na farashin da kuma raguwa. samarwa a cikin gajeren lokaci.

Fed kawai yana tsammanin abin da wasu hukumomi iri ɗaya za su tilasta su yi. Ya zuwa yanzu ECB ya yi jinkiri. Ya ci gaba da cewa zai hanzarta janye abubuwan kara kuzari don fuskantar tasirin cutar (kuma wannan da kansa yana azabtar da kasashe kamar Spain), amma ya yanke hukuncin kisa a halin yanzu.

Koyaya, babban masanin tattalin arziki na Babban Bankin Turai, Philip Lane, ya sanar a kwanakin nan cewa yawan karuwar albashi sama da 3% zai tilasta shiga tsakani.

Wato maɓalli na vault. Idan kun ƙara yawan kuɗi a matsakaici, yada lissafin kuɗi don hauhawar farashin kaya tsakanin kamfanoni da masu kwangila, za ku ƙare tare da irin wannan shawarar. Idan sun tashi daidai gwargwado, yanayin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki zai zama na dindindin kuma dole ne a dauki mataki. Kuma daidai abin da ƙungiyoyi kamar UGT ke shukawa lokacin da suke buƙatar ƙarin albashi na 5% a wannan makon. Gurasa na yau da kyamara don gobe.

Domin karin albashi na wannan girman ba zai iya haifar da lalacewar aiki ba. Har ila yau, an kafa shi don rage yawan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, a, amma tare da tsadar zamantakewar jama'a da kuma mafi girma da lalacewa na masana'anta masu amfani saboda asarar gasa a kasuwanni, na ciki da waje. Zai zama babban kuskure.

Wasan kwaikwayo shi ne cewa gwamnatin kasar nan, ban da yawan jama'a da rashin sanin ya kamata, tana da rauni sosai. Tare da abokan aikinsa na yau da kullun da ke adawa da sake fasalin aikin na ƙwadago, yana da niyyar dawo da lafazin ci gaba da ba a taɓa ji ba ta hanyar haɓaka haɓakar masu karɓar albashi wanda ke haifar da rashin daidaituwa mafi girma a cikin da'irar tattalin arziki. Idan ba a ba da shawarar ba a cikin irin wannan yanayin don gabatar da abubuwan rashin aiki a cikin tsarin, zai zama mafi haɗari a cikin yanayin hauhawar farashin kaya kamar na yanzu.

Haɓaka farashin babbar matsala ce ga tattalin arziƙin cikin gida - sanannen haɓakar farashin siyayyar siyayya- da takaddun ma'auni na kasuwanci - haɓaka farashin samarwa da lissafin ma'auni-, amma wani abu ne daban. Yana da mummunar barazana ga farfadowar tattalin arzikin Galician, musamman idan an magance shi ta hanyar da ba ta dace ba.