UVladimir Putin waqala ibali lakhe njengomlawuli waseRashiya emfazweni kwaye uthembisa, ukuba akayikuphelisa, ukuqhubela phambili kwi-epilogue kunye nomnye. U-Boris Yeltsin uthembisa ekupheleni kwenkulungwane yama-XNUMX ukuba iRashiya iya kuthatha ikomkhulu laseChechen kwiintsuku ezilishumi. Emva koko, wathi uya kufuna inyanga ... Xa lo mhla wokugqibela awuzange uhlangane, u-Yeltsin wamemezela ukuyeka kwakhe, eshiya isikhundla sikamongameli kwi-agent yangaphambili ye-KGB egama linguPutin, owalawula ukubeka umhla: uya kuba khona. wada wayiphumelela imfazwe. Ukusuka e-Chechnya ukuya e-Ukraine kuye kwanetha kakhulu i-agent ye-KGB yangaphambili, kodwa ngoku kwaye ngoku amandla kunye nobuthathaka bendoda enolwazi oluncinci lwe-tactical ibeka isantya sokudubula. UMark Galeotti, umlawuli we-Mayak Intelligence, uye wahambela phambili kule minyaka njengenye yeengcali ezinkulu kwiRashiya yangoku. Ngoku upapasha kunye noDesperta Ferro Ediciones eSpain 'iimfazwe zikaPutin', apho ahlalutya indlela usopolitiki waseRussia alihlaziye ngayo ilizwe lakhe ngongenelelo lwasemkhosini kwaye ube negalelo lokuba nemikhosi yakhe exhobileyo 'njengomkhosi wesibini emhlabeni'. Ingcamango yokuba iinyanga ezisithoba zokulwa ngokwenene zibe negalelo ekukhanyeni. Ngaba imfazwe yaseUkraine iya kuba yimfazwe yokugqibela kaPutin? -Kunjalo. Akunjalo nje ngenxa yokuba le mfazwe iwukrazule umkhosi wabo: umkhosi owathabatha iminyaka engama-20 ukwakhiwa uye waqwengwa kwiinyanga ezisithoba zokulwa. Nangona uPutin ezama ukwakha kwakhona umkhosi wakhe emva kwesivumelwano soxolo kwixesha elizayo, kuya kuthatha iminyaka, mhlawumbi ishumi leminyaka, ukuba abuyele apho wawukhona ngoFebruwari 2022. Ngelo xesha, imikhosi yomkhosi iya kube ihambele phambili. Okona kulungileyo, uya kuba wakhe ixesha le-2020s, kodwa uya kufumana izakhiwo ezichasayo kunye namaqela e-2030s. Kodwa akukhona nje ngemeko yomkhosi wakho. Ndiyathandabuza kakhulu ukuba uPutin unokusinda ekoyisweni okungenakuphepheka eUkraine enesikhundla sakhe. Usenokuba useKremlin, kodwa igunya lakhe liya kuba lifumene isibetho esigqibeleleyo. Ngenye indlela okanye enye, akayi kuba nenkunzi yezopolitiko yokucinga malunga nokuza komkhosi kwixesha elizayo. Umgangatho weendaba eziyeleleneyo Ewe Iimodeli ezi-5 zamatanki aseRashiya atshatyalaliswa kakhulu ngabantu base-Ukrainian emfazweni uManuel P. I-Villatoro Ukususela kwi-T-62 yamandulo ukuya kwi-T-90 ehamba phambili; Izahlulo ezixhobileyo zikaVladimir Putin, ngokweewebhusayithi ezikhethekileyo, ngokuthe ngcembe ziqhekeka kwindawo yedabi - Ngaba ucinga ukuba uPutin usenako ukuphumelela le mfazwe? – Ngokuzithoba, andicingi ukuba ndingaphinda ndiphumelele. Nangona kunjalo, ndicinga ukuba unokukuphepha ukulahlekelwa. Iqhinga layo langoku libonakala lisekelwe ekuzameni ukwandisa ungquzulwano. Uye wayirhoxisa imikhosi yakhe eKherson, ukuseka umgca ongaphambili okhuseleke ngakumbi. Uphose amashumi eekhilomitha zabalindi edabini njengokudla kwenkanunu, ngethemba lokuba nokuba banokufa iikhilomitha, bangabanqanda abantu baseUkraine. Ngeli xesha, amanye ama-150.000 amajoni aqokelelanayo afumana uqeqesho kunye nezixhobo ezisisiseko, ngethemba lokuba anokubekwa njengeeyunithi ezintsha entwasahlobo. Ayingomkhosi onokuthi uqalise uhlaselo olukhulu lomkhosi, kodwa unokukwazi ukuthintela abantu base-Ukraine ukuba baphinde babambe umhlaba omninzi. Injongo, idityaniswe nohlaselo lwangempela lobunqolobi ngokuchasene neziseko zelizwe lase-Ukraine, sele icacile kwi-Kyiv nakwi-West ukuba le mfazwe iya kuqhubeka, kwaye uPutin kunye neRussia banesisu sayo. -Yintoni oyifunayo ukuze ufezekise isicwangciso sakho? Akunjalo, mhlawumbi, ukuba uPutin ulindele ukunikezelwa kwe-Ukraine, okanye ukuba uquka isivumelwano soxolo ngokuzithandela. Ngaba, kunoko, ukuba uchonge ukuba thina baseNtshona silikhonkco elibuthathaka. Ukuba ulahlekelwa ngumdla e-Ukraine, ukuba ulahlekelwa yintando yokuqhubeka nokuboleka ngemali, ngobuntu kunye nomkhosi, kuya kuba nzima kakhulu ukuba abantu base-Ukraine baqhubeke nomlo wabo. UPutin unethemba lokusishiya. Ukuba oku kuyenzeka, ngoko unokukwazi ukunyanzela uhlobo oluthile lwesivumelwano esibi kwi-Kyiv, kodwa iya kuba luhlobo lwesivumelwano esithintela ukoyiswa kweRashiya, kunokuba luhlobo lokuphumelela awayenalo engqondweni ngoFebruwari. Ifoto nguMark Galeotti. I-ABC - Kwiimfazwe zangaphambili, ngaba uPutin ubonise nasiphi na isakhono njengomphathi wezempi? - Hayi, ngokupheleleyo. Kufuneka sikhumbule ukuba le yindoda engenawo amava omkhosi. Angawathanda amathuba efoto kwitanki okanye ukubhabha inqwelomoya, kodwa wenza olona qeqesho lwegosa logcino lwesiseko xa wayesekholejini ngeminyaka yee-'70s kwaye akukho nto ukusukela oko. Into ayibonisileyo ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kukukwazi kwakhe ukukhetha umlo olula. Waphumelela imfazwe yamakhaya yaseChechen, nangona mhlawumbi ngexabiso elikhulu kunokuba bekulindelwe. Imfazwe yayo yeentsuku ezintlanu ngokuchasene neGeorgia, ukufakwa kwayo kweCrimea, ukusetyenziswa kwayo okulinganiselweyo kwezomkhosi eSyria: yonke le misebenzi yayimbalwa, zonke yayizimfazwe ezaziwa yiRussia ukuba ifanele ukoyisa. Ngaba unethuku njengejoni? -Nangona kunjalo, awubonakali ngathi unalo uhlobo lokuqonda iinyani zemfazwe yanamhlanje efunwa yi-adventurism yakho yasemkhosini. Kukho intetho yakudala ethi abantu abangafundanga bafunda amaqhinga kwaye iingcali zifunda izinto. Ewe, uPutin akazange acinge ngeqhinga. Iinzame zakhe zokuthatha i-Ukraine zazisekwe kuhlobo lweqhinga elaliza kuthatyathwa yintlola, endaweni yenjengele. Yayisisiqalo esizenzekelayo esiyintlekele ngokwenene. UPutin ubonakala ekholelwa ngokunyanisekileyo ukuba iya kuba loloyiso olulula, umsebenzi weeveki ezimbini oya kushiya i-Ukraine ezandleni zorhulumente woonopopi olawulwa yiMoscow. Kule meko wayephazama ngokucacileyo ngendlela eyintlekele. "Ukuba iRashiya ikholelwa ngokwenene ukuba i-NATO ifuna ukuyitshabalalisa, ingozi kukuba iya kubhenela kwizixhobo zenyukliya ezinamandla ngakumbi" - abaphathi base-US bathi ukuba iRashiya isebenzisa izixhobo zenyukliya, i-NATO iya kuphendula ngohlaselo oluqhelekileyo. Ngaba i-NATO 'kulula' ukutshabalalisa umkhosi waseRashiya? 'Ndicinga ukuba kuxhomekeke kwinto oyithethayo ngokutshabalalisa umkhosi wamaRashiya.' Ngaba ungaqalisa uhlaselo oluqhelekileyo lokudiliza ngokuchasene nezakhono zaseRussia kwintshona yelizwe? Ewe, ngokuqinisekileyo inako. Nangona kunjalo, kuya kubakho imida kwinto eya kwenziwa yi-NATO kwiimeko ezinjalo ukuzama ukunciphisa umngcipheko wokubangela ukunyuka okuqhubekayo. Ukuba iRashiya ikholelwa ngokwenene ukuba i-NATO iya kuyitshabalalisa, iya kubhenela kwizixhobo zenyukliya ezinamandla ngakumbi. Yingakho naluphi na uhlaselo lwe-NATO luya kulinganiswa ngononophelo ukuba lubangele umonakalo owaneleyo kumaRashiya ukuze kucace ukuba olu hlobo lokuziphatha alwamkelekanga ngokupheleleyo, kodwa ngaphandle kokubonakala njengesandulela kumzamo ocacileyo wokutshabalalisa i-federation yaseRashiya. -Sasinombono wokuba iRussia 'inomkhosi wesibini ngobukhulu emhlabeni'. Ngaba le ngcamango yadalwa yipropaganda? Ewe, kuyinyaniso ukuba kukho ipropaganda eninzi malunga nomkhosi waseRashiya, kodwa ngeendlela ezininzi le nto yayiyingxaki eMoscow kunathi. Ngapha koko, ephepheni, amaRashiya ayenomkhosi wesibini ngobukhulu emhlabeni. Nangona kunjalo, kufanelekile ukugxininisa kwigama elithi ixesha loxolo. Baye bagqiba ukulwa ne-Ukraine ehlanganiswe ngokupheleleyo, okuthetha ukuba abanalo uhlobo lwenzuzo yamanani onokuyilindela. Enye yeempazamo ezininzi zikaPutin yayingekuko ukuhlanganisa abakhe oovimba ngaphambi okanye kumanqanaba okuqala emfazwe, njengoko iinjengele zakhe zaziya kufuna. Kwakhona kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuba uMphathiswa wezoKhuselo uSergei Shoygu yinto yenkosi yobudlelwane boluntu. Wenza umsebenzi omhle kakhulu wokweyisela amajoni aseRashiya ukuba ayinxalenye yomkhosi onamandla nosebenzayo, lowo yayingumsebenzi wakhe. Nangona kunjalo, kucacile ukuba kwinqanaba elithile wathenga kwi-hype yakhe, kwaye ngaphezu koko, uPutin wenza njalo. Umkhosi waseRashiya ubonakala uchukumisa kakhulu uMatshini ngeRed Square, kodwa njengoko sesibonile, usephantsi kwazo zonke iintlobo zobuthathaka obufihlakeleyo, ukusuka ekunqongophelweni kwamagosa awo, ukuya kwinkcubeko eyityhefu yokungaluleki kunye nokoyikisa, uhlobo lorhwaphilizo olwabangela ukuba amaRussia akhuphe iilori ezixhotyiswe ngamatayara aphantsi aseTshayina endaweni yobunzima, iinguqulelo zemozulu ezizidingayo ukuze zilawule umhlaba waseUkraine. Amanye amabali avela kwiindaba zembali Hayi I-feat enkulu yodwa ye-IIGM: i-samurai ekwazile ukubhabha kwaye ibhombu i-US. Iindaba Ewe Intlekele ye-Armored: iimodeli ezi-5 zamatanki aseRashiya atshatyalaliswa kakhulu ngabantu baseUkraine kwimfazwe eyoyikekayo. Ukuba uhlaselo lwalulandele imfundiso yomkhosi waseRashiya, ukuba iinjengele, kunokuba iintlola, zinelizwi lokugqibela, ukuba yayilandele indlela yokuqeqeshwa komkhosi waseRashiya, uxhobile, kwaye uxhotyiselwe ukulwa, ngoko ke izinto ezinokuthi zibe yimpumelelo. ezahlukeneyo. Emva kwayo yonke loo nto, kukho isizathu sokuba umkhosi ofanayo waseMelika eWashington uqinisekile ukuba uhlaselo luyeza lwaluqinisekile ukuba amaRussia azuze okuninzi kwiiveki ezimbini.
