Kushomeka kweSpain kuchaongororwa pa3,9% kusvika 2027

daniel knightTORA

Spain ichave nenguva pfupi uye yepakati pakati pemabasa ayo ekukurumidzira kugadzirisa matambudziko nemari yeveruzhinji. Iyi ndiyo nzira iyo data kubva kuInternational Monetary Fund (IMF) yekushayikwa uye chikwereti chichakwevera nyika kusvikira zvishoma 2027. Muchiitiko chekutanga, ichakunda 3,9% yeGDP; muchipiri, pamusoro pe114%.

Maalarm anoenda mushure mekunge manhamba akaitwa pachena nemutumbi unotungamirwa naKristalina Georgieva. Izvi zvakaenzana nenyika yedu ine kushomeka kwemaitiro emamiriyoni makumi mashanu emamiriyoni euros mumakore mashanu anotevera, pasina Hurumende inofunga nezve hurongwa hwekubatanidza mari seBhange reSpain neAiref rinogara richitaura.

Nyika yedu yakapera 2020, gore redenda, paine 11% gap mumaakaundi. Mugore rezvemari ra2021, huwandu hwakadzika kusvika pa7% uye kudzikiswa kuchaita zvishoma nezvishoma mumakore anotevera. 5,3% gore rino, 4,3% inotevera… uye kusvika ipapo. Ipapo Spain icharasikirwa yakamisikidzwa pa3,9% pakati pa2024 na2027, iyo nguva yakafukidzwa neFundo fungidziro.

Chikwereti hachizofambi zvakanaka kana tichitarisa zvakafanotaurwa neIMF. Iyi 2022 icharamba iri pa116,4% yeGDP, kuderedzwa kusvika 115,9% gore rinouya. Uye zvinotevera zviitwa, kusvika 2027, zvichafamba pakati pe114,7% ne114,5%. Panenge pasisina kuderedzwa kwakanyanya kwechikwereti cheveruzhinji.

Nekudaro, kudzikira kwakaitika mune zvese zviratidzo pakati pa2021 na2023 kunokonzerwa nezvinhu zviviri. Kune rumwe rutivi, nekuda kwekuwedzera kweGDP; kune rimwe divi, nekuda kwekushandisa mari kunodiwa kubva padenda. Covid yakada kuti Hurumende ibvise rubatsiro kumhuri nemakambani, kuburikidza nechikwereti, kuyedza kumisa dambudziko. Nekudaro, idzi rubatsiro rwemari dzinofanira kupera pane imwe nguva uye kukurudzira kweveruzhinji kunenge kwaitwa, zvinoda kushoma kushanda nesimba mukushandisa.

Pasinei nezvose, IMF, maererano nedheta, haitendi kuti Spain inogona kusvika kune iyo yekare mitemo yezvemari. Semuyenzaniso, muganho wavo denda risati raiswa pakushomeka kwe3% uye parizvino nyika yedu haisati yasvika panosvika nhamba iyoyo.

Kusava nechokwadi pamusoro pemari yehurumende

"Zvirongwa zvenguva yepakati pemari uye fungidziro yakatarisana nekusagadzikana kwakasiyana zvichienderana nekukura kwehondo, kunyanya muEurope, inflation uye mhindu," IMF inoratidzira mushumo wayo wenguva pfupi yapfuura.

Saizvozvo, sangano rinoratidza kuti chechipiri mhedzisiro yezvirango kuRussia haisati yazivikanwa uye kuti ichasiyana pakati penyika. Deficits iri kudonha pasi rose asi inotarisirwa kuramba iri pamusoro pe pre-denda level.

Uye pasi pemamiriro ezvinhu aya, Homwe yakarerekera kuitira kuti rutsigiro rwemari rwakapihwa nehurumende kurwisa inflation uye mubereko wakanangana neavo vari kunyanya kubatwa nedambudziko iri, pamwero wakajairwa mubhadharo. “Kana hupfumi hwenyika hukadzikira zvakanyanya, zvinogona kushanduka kuita rutsigiro rwemari. Yakakodzera nyika dzine nzvimbo dzemari, asi zvinofanirwa kuitwa nenzira inodzivirira kuwedzera kusaenzana pakati pekupa uye kudiwa uye kudzvanywa kwemitengo ”, anosimbisa.